All About Primary Schools' Balloting History

[floppy]

yo0816\" post_id=\"1916353\" time=\"1561731357\" user_id=\"165674:

haha, that’s also my question, so I asked why the number “apply” exceed “taken” in 2B for many school in his table. Anyway, how is the chance to get in HGS in 2B?

If you are referring to KSP table, applied refers to the number of applicants relative to vacancy for that phase. Therefore, if the number shows less than 100%, it mean no balloting and there are some vacancies to roll over to the next phase. Take up rate refers to the overall take up at the end of the phase relative to total number of places.

Haig Girls have not balloted in Phase 2B for the last 10+ years.

[yo0816]

zac's mum\" post_id=\"1916371\" time=\"1561738776\" user_id=\"53606:[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=1916371 time=1561738776 user_id=53606]
I went to the 2018 registration thread to check 2B for you. Definitely no balloting for Haig Girls in 2B. Not sure where his stats for applicants > seats taken came from. Human error?

I think the popularity of Haig Girls only shows up in 2C, where many PRs will apply. Or have they upped their game since then and started doing PV in large masses for 2B?? Perhaps you have some insights.

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=84544&start=1910[/quote]

:thankyou:

[yo0816]

floppy\" post_id=\"1916372\" time=\"1561739074\" user_id=\"97579:

yo0816\" post_id=\"1916353\" time=\"1561731357\" user_id=\"165674:

haha, that’s also my question, so I asked why the number “apply” exceed “taken” in 2B for many school in his table. Anyway, how is the chance to get in HGS in 2B?

If you are referring to KSP table, applied refers to the number of applicants relative to vacancy for that phase. Therefore, if the number shows less than 100%, it mean no balloting and there are some vacancies to roll over to the next phase. Take up rate refers to the overall take up at the end of the phase relative to total number of places.

Haig Girls have not balloted in Phase 2B for the last 10+ years.

Thank you floppy!

[jaytee]

Hi,


I'm looking at this summarised balloting history table for ALL years using a complex weighted average method ( ! )

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/article/2019-p1-registration-balloting-risk/

Can anyone tell me if the colours (red, yellow, green) are further differentiated for balloting for SCs or PRs ? According to the legend code, balloting for SCs is yellow box with bold text and underline, and balloting for PRs is just yellow box. However, in table all I see are yellow boxes and text all the same.

Thanks !

JT

[dindonbell]

Hi, i read the article on 2019 P1 registration balloting risk. My girl is due for registration this month, and we have done PV for St Nicks, hence qualifying us for Phase 2B. However, i was surprised to see that St Nicks is projected to be ‘high risk’ of balloting even for less than 1km at Phase 2B. I wonder why that’s the case, since for past 3 years (which include Year of Dragon last year), there is no balloting required for Phase 2B for less than 1km. Moreover, this is Year of Snake, a lull year for babies. Any parents have any insights?

[hethet]

dindonbell\" post_id=\"1917502\" time=\"1562224142\" user_id=\"96096:

Hi, i read the article on 2019 P1 registration balloting risk. My girl is due for registration this month, and we have done PV for St Nicks, hence qualifying us for Phase 2B. However, i was surprised to see that St Nicks is projected to be 'high risk' of balloting even for less than 1km at Phase 2B. I wonder why that's the case, since for past 3 years (which include Year of Dragon last year), there is no balloting required for Phase 2B for less than 1km. Moreover, this is Year of Snake, a lull year for babies. Any parents have any insights?

Hi dindonbell,
There was ballot for St Nicks, SC less than 1km for Phase 2B in last year's registration.

[floppy]

dindonbell\" post_id=\"1917502\" time=\"1562224142\" user_id=\"96096:

Hi, i read the article on 2019 P1 registration balloting risk. My girl is due for registration this month, and we have done PV for St Nicks, hence qualifying us for Phase 2B. However, i was surprised to see that St Nicks is projected to be 'high risk' of balloting even for less than 1km at Phase 2B. I wonder why that's the case, since for past 3 years (which include Year of Dragon last year), there is no balloting required for Phase 2B for less than 1km. Moreover, this is Year of Snake, a lull year for babies. Any parents have any insights?

Taking past 10 years data, there were balloting for SC < 1km in Phase 2B for every year except 2017, 2016 and 2009. In 2016, it was SC < 1km filled exactly, thus a close shave. 7 (or 7.5) out of 10 means SNGS is definitely high risk for balloting < 1km for SC in Phase 2B.

Given the historical data and trending, with Phase 1 not much of a drop off vs last year, and Phase 2A1/2 still to come, best to get yourself mentally prepared with backup in Phase 2C, especially if the school is left with only the reserve number (20 places).

[zac's mum]

St Nicks has always been popular among the Chinese Catholics. That’s where the bulk of the 2B applicants come from. And there are plenty of new housing <1km (including plenty of resale sellers listing in the market).

[Phonedressup]

hi . i am going for phase 2c. im deciding between ngee ann pri and taonan.


looking to ballot on the last day depending on the availability. i suppose my husband n i need to camp at both schools to monitor the situation.

wouldn’t the general office be super crowded if many kiasu parents do this? would the general office chase us out? anyone has done this b4?

[floppy]

Phonedressup\" post_id=\"1917667\" time=\"1562252683\" user_id=\"167702:

hi . i am going for phase 2c. im deciding between ngee ann pri and taonan.

looking to ballot on the last day depending on the availability. i suppose my husband n i need to camp at both schools to monitor the situation.

wouldn't the general office be super crowded if many kiasu parents do this? would the general office chase us out? anyone has done this b4?

Taonan will definitely ballot < 1km whereas Ngee Ann will either ballot between 1-2km or > 2km. Hence, should be quite straightforward for you to decide on the eve of the penultimate registration day without camping in the school.

If you are > 1km, Taonan is not an option.
If you are going to ballot with the 1km crowd, go for Taonan.
If you want a secure place < 1km, go for Ngee Ann.