2024 PSLE Discussions and Strategies
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All the best to the Dragon kids receiving their psle results tomorrow!
I have friends who seem extremely worried that the increased number of candidates in this Dragon year (versus no corresponding increase in places in secondary schools) will skew the cut off points significantly. What are yalls’ predictions?
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These are birth numbers from the last dragon year and the year before
2011 39654
2012 42663Increase of 3009 babies from previous year
There are around 150 secondary schools
Average class size is around 33 students
The additional 3009 babies, say spread equally across the 150 secondary schools, each school will
have to take on additional 20 students.If each school has average of 10 classes for each intake, spreading the additional 20 students across 10 classes, each class will increase by 2 students. And average class size will increase to 33+2=35. I think all schools still can absorb without making any major changes.
The supply side can be taken care off to meet the expected surge in applicants. Cut off point should not change just because of more dragon babies.
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@bbbay Thanks for the calculations. Not sure where I read it, but one parent was saying that at the top schools’ open houses, principal declared that the intake will not increase for the Dragon batch.
Your guess is based on averages, thus each class absorbing 2 more pax. I personally think the undersubscribed schools at the bottom will absorb the spillover demand (if it is true that the top schools will not bend on increasing class size).
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@zac-s-mum said in 2024 PSLE Discussions and Strategies:
All the best to the Dragon kids receiving their psle results tomorrow!
I have friends who seem extremely worried that the increased number of candidates in this Dragon year (versus no corresponding increase in places in secondary schools) will skew the cut off points significantly. What are yalls’ predictions?
Saw a FB comments from a parent who went to a mid tier school open house that it will increase intake.
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Congratulations to all parents with children that recently collected their PSLE results! Just sharing with everyone, I recently chanced upon a tuition centre providing very affordable secondary school tuition, at only $30 per lesson. Might be worth checking out given the extremely high prices that most places charge these days.
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Secondary 1 posting results to be released on Dec 18: MOE
The Secondary 1 posting results will be released at 9am on Dec 18.
In a press release on Dec 11, the Ministry of Education (MOE) said pupils can check their postings through:
- Short Message Service (SMS) via a local mobile number
- S1 Internet System (https://www.moe.gov.sg/s1-posting) using the student’s birth certificate number or FIN, and the S1 pin
- At the pupil’s primary school
Pupils do not need to report to their new schools after receiving their posting results, but refer to the posted schools’ websites for more information, the ministry added.
Parents who are on Parents Gateway will also receive instructions from the posted schools from the afternoon of Dec 18.
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Sec 1 posting outcomes ‘comparable’ to previous years, says MOE, despite bumper Dragon cohort
The recent Secondary 1 posting outcomes were “comparable” to those of the previous cohort, with more than 80 per cent of pupils being posted to a school of their first, second or third choice.
Also similar to previous years, more than nine in 10 secured a place in one of the six schools they chose, said the Ministry of Education (MOE).
Most pupils who needed a tie-breaker were sorted by citizenship and school choice order, with about one in 10 going through computerised balloting, said a spokeswoman for MOE. These trends are similar to previous years’.
Since the Secondary 1 posting results were announced, some parents have taken to online forums to express concerns that their children did not make it to their secondary school of choice.
They said there seemed to be significant changes in school cut-off points and wondered if this was due to the larger Dragon cohort size.
In 2024, 40,894 pupils sat the Primary School Leaving Examination (PSLE), compared with 38,088 in 2023, 37,095 in 2022 and 39,119 in 2021.
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I feel for some of the kids this year.
IMO, the key was to understand the intake sizes at many of the schools from 2020 onwards. Based on some of the COP fluctuations throughout the years (especially the 2022 PSLE with the Tiger batch) and a rough indication of balloting (nothing official though), there were some warning signs of what might happen.
The other factor is with every year that goes by, parents/students are more in tune with optimizing the AL score (i.e. don’t allow one subject to drag down your total).
Of course, no one could say for sure exactly what was going to happen.
Anyways, life goes on. With an open mind, most kids will be happy and find good opportunities wherever they ended up.
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