3Boys:
I would have thought a prediction made at 12 noon just after booths open would hold more cachet than a prediction made at 9pm after polls closed?
MIW always have problems with bye elections, when was the last time they won an SMC by election? I think not since before JBJ.
When they started sorting out d votes at both counting centres, d number of votes were still close at 9 pm thereabouts.
It was much later at around 10 pm when reports were floated dat WP was pulling away in vote count.
While concur dat BE was a factor, but don't think dat factor alone caused a >13% swing.
Something more fundamental on d ground has changed.
It is telling dat, in d last rally, MIWS put up PM who spoke much longer than d candidate in defence of govt policies n there were three Malay speakers, including Halimah Y, who rallied.
Ministers n white MPs fanned out to distribute flyers to connect with d ground.
But those moves still didn't sway d ground n they got hammered by WP with a resounding victory.