All About Primary Schools' Balloting History

[hjwen]

Hi! I am a noob here and doing last minute panacking on registration for phase 2C. Is there any link or info I can find to see when does balloting happens within phase 2C? Eg within 1km or 2 km

[zac's mum]

hjwen\" post_id=\"1988804\" time=\"1596283741\" user_id=\"186188:

Hi! I am a noob here and doing last minute panacking on registration for phase 2C. Is there any link or info I can find to see when does balloting happens within phase 2C? Eg within 1km or 2 km

Which school?

[hjwen]

Hong Wen & Kheng Cheng School. Thanks!

[Davischew]

hjwen\" post_id=\"1988812\" time=\"1596286586\" user_id=\"186188:

Hong Wen & Kheng Cheng School. Thanks!

What's your distance to both? Hong Wen hot ballot <1km, Kheng Cheng probably ballot >2km

[hjwen]

I m within 1km for Hong Wen & within 2km for Kheng Cheng.

I m torn to cast my final registration “vote” as I don’t know which probability is higher: within 1km balloting? Or try KC coS their 2C phase vacancies are almost doubled than HW.
Friends that I ask around for opinion feel wasted if I don’t try my luck at HW. But seriously this try my risk is stressing me out coS I don’t know what’s my next step if I can’t get into HW.
Any thoughts on this?

[Davischew]

hjwen\" post_id=\"1988833\" time=\"1596300885\" user_id=\"186188:

I m within 1km for Hong Wen & within 2km for Kheng Cheng.
I m torn to cast my final registration “vote” as I don’t know which probability is higher: within 1km balloting? Or try KC coS their 2C phase vacancies are almost doubled than HW.
Friends that I ask around for opinion feel wasted if I don’t try my luck at HW. But seriously this try my risk is stressing me out coS I don’t know what’s my next step if I can’t get into HW.
Any thoughts on this?

Try Hongwen since nearest, and backup bendemeer or first Toa Payoh at 2CS.

[Read]

hjwen\" post_id=\"1988833\" time=\"1596300885\" user_id=\"186188:

I m within 1km for Hong Wen & within 2km for Kheng Cheng.
I m torn to cast my final registration “vote” as I don’t know which probability is higher: within 1km balloting? Or try KC coS their 2C phase vacancies are almost doubled than HW.
Friends that I ask around for opinion feel wasted if I don’t try my luck at HW. But seriously this try my risk is stressing me out coS I don’t know what’s my next step if I can’t get into HW.
Any thoughts on this?

I recall KC has balloted for SC < 1km before. Though probably not as oversubscribed as HW.

[Lexy]

hjwen\" post_id=\"1988833\" time=\"1596300885\" user_id=\"186188:

I m within 1km for Hong Wen & within 2km for Kheng Cheng.
I m torn to cast my final registration “vote” as I don’t know which probability is higher: within 1km balloting? Or try KC coS their 2C phase vacancies are almost doubled than HW.
Friends that I ask around for opinion feel wasted if I don’t try my luck at HW. But seriously this try my risk is stressing me out coS I don’t know what’s my next step if I can’t get into HW.
Any thoughts on this?

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/article/toa-payoh/
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621&start=50#p1981736

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/article/kallang/
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621&start=40#p1981726

HW odds is roughly 1.5X to 1.8X per vacancy. The last time the TUR is near to this year is 2016 which no need balloting for within 1km (only for 1-2km). But in 2018 only 27 vacancy but about 116 applied, i can only assume all are within 1km if not i wont know why parents want to add number for. The trend is tilted towards balloting within 1km but sometimes off results will happen.

KC seem more safe generally with one off the chart (freak) result in 2018 where within 1km need balloting. Odds seems lower than 1.5x in the event of a need for balloting 1-2km.

Back to your thought process, its never easy to choose and to decide that you are heading for balloting, it somehow take your own risk profile to do so. Some feels okie and some feels not. If you do have a selection of a backup in 2Cs then go for HW since you are near. If there is just between the two, try to go for the one with lesser risk (i know this year is not so visible to know from the sch).

Keep a cool mind. As you are within 1km of HW, if you already set for that balloting, apply and dont listen to noises, wait for the result, its the best for your mental health.

[zac's mum]

2018 was registration year for the Dragon baby boom, which explains the spike in demand that year.


But whatever the demand this year, you are <1km of Hong Wen and have no other choice <1km, so just go for it. U are at least guaranteed a lucky draw ticket mah.

If balloted out, can go for Bendemeer at 2CS, it should be near your house, also good chance.

[MerlionInGermany]

hjwen\" post_id=\"1988833\" time=\"1596300885\" user_id=\"186188:

I m within 1km for Hong Wen & within 2km for Kheng Cheng.
I m torn to cast my final registration “vote” as I don’t know which probability is higher: within 1km balloting? Or try KC coS their 2C phase vacancies are almost doubled than HW.
Friends that I ask around for opinion feel wasted if I don’t try my luck at HW. But seriously this try my risk is stressing me out coS I don’t know what’s my next step if I can’t get into HW.
Any thoughts on this?

Go for the school you like better.

Dont take HW just because friends think it is a waste not to join in the ballot. They dont need to take responsibility for the consequences.

Go for HW only if it is your own preference, PLUS you have a happy 2CS school. Most people like HW just because it is a popular school in the area. I have a friend who sent the son to HW (2a1) instead of MS (2a1) because the boy has younger sisters. But regretted because the boy, though in the best HW class, managed only 230, could have got into MS by affiliation if he had been sent to MS.