Crisis Around the World -War/Health/Weather/Economy/Society

[newkeynesian]

floppy\" post_id=\"2088803\" time=\"1668479984\" user_id=\"97579:

With the tactical withdrawal of the Russians from Kherson, the new boundary is pretty much drawn. Given that the US midterm is more or less settled, and Winter is definitely coming / here, I think it's time for the final phase of war and the negotiation of peace.

I expect Zelensky and Ukraine to be given up and sold by the West.

Meaning what? Will Zelensky be placed under house arrest? Or Zelensky to pick up the pieces in the aftermath? Or Zelensky to take flight and escape to somewhere else?

[floppy]

newkeynesian\" post_id=\"2088815\" time=\"1668492791\" user_id=\"5441:

Meaning what? Will Zelensky be placed under house arrest? Or Zelensky to pick up the pieces in the aftermath? Or Zelensky to take flight and escape to somewhere else?

Very likely, he will be asked to pick up the pieces and move on. If Zelenskyy is telling the https://www.politico.eu/article/volodymyr-zelenskyy-tells-g20-dear-g19-leaders-dont-ask-ukraine-to-compromise-russia/, that means the world leaders are already asking him to compromise. Right now, he wants his allies / supporters to provide him with $55b for Ukraine's next year's budget, in additional to millions of weaponry to continue fighting Russia. but I doubt anyone in the west, especially Europe, has that kind of stomach / budget / funds / resources to continue fighting.

[Zeal mummy]

floppy\" post_id=\"2088798\" time=\"1668478695\" user_id=\"97579:

For those still following the US midterms, the score for the House is now:
GOP 217 : DEM 204
218 FTW.
GOP has more paths to victory and will likely control the House.

Going to be a messy / exciting two years in Washington.

I was told that during a recession (or an impending one) the GOP would rule, dominate the elections, as majority of the Americans are still rather conservative. The DEM fare better during boom times.

[floppy]

Zeal mummy\" post_id=\"2088824\" time=\"1668502196\" user_id=\"58173:[quote=\"Zeal mummy\" post_id=2088824 time=1668502196 user_id=58173]
I was told that during a recession (or an impending one) the GOP would rule, dominate the elections, as majority of the Americans are still rather conservative. The DEM fare better during boom times.[/quote]

TBH I don't think that holds true.

The way their congressional districts are drawn (i.e. gerrymandered), you can easily break down their 435 house districts (as well as their states) into deep blue / red, light blue / red and purple districts - which is what many political observers have done every election season. From there, you can easily see which ones are winnable and which are not, based on candidate quality, economic factors, turn out etc. In many deep blue / red districts, the DEM / GOP will win regardless of economic situation or their candidate quality (hence, you can get people like AOC or MTG elected, even though they are really unqualified and experienced enough to be considered).

[floppy]

\"American comeback starts right now.\"


Former President Donald Trump announced that he would seek a second nonconsecutive term as POTUS.

USA! USA! USA!
:rotflmao:

[newkeynesian]

USA vs USB nearing?

[floppy]

newkeynesian\" post_id=\"2088889\" time=\"1668586910\" user_id=\"5441:

USA vs USB nearing?

It’s the battle of 懂王 vs 睡王.

[starlight1968sg]

Anybody following the GE of Malaysia?

[floppy]

starlight1968sg\" post_id=\"2089018\" time=\"1668731798\" user_id=\"14025:

Anybody following the GE of Malaysia?

Me (also following 台湾9合一选举 with interest).

This GE15 is going to be a key event in the future direction of Malaysia. Unfortunately, IMHO, it will likely result in a hung parliament as neither of the 3 coalitions seems solid enough to win an outright majority. PH and BN are likely to be the two main competing groups, and Sabah and Sarawak could end up being the king maker (which means PH will likely lose out).

[starlight1968sg]

floppy\" post_id=\"2089064\" time=\"1668749679\" user_id=\"97579:

Me (also following 台湾9合一选举 with interest).

This GE15 is going to be a key event in the future direction of Malaysia. Unfortunately, IMHO, it will likely result in a hung parliament as neither of the 3 coalitions seems solid enough to win an outright majority. PH and BN are likely to be the two main competing groups, and Sabah and Sarawak could end up being the king maker (which means PH will likely lose out).

The 3 are fighting to be the PM. The votes in eastern M are uncertain. The result is highly unpredictable.