Choose Secondary school for 2010

[harini]

CrazyDad:

Good news for everybody :celebrate:


This year the COP will be lower than last two years except for the top 4 schools. Here is how I came out with this forecast;

Comparing the number of students that go to Express from year 2006 to 2009 and the COP of a few of schools.

Looking at the number of student going to Express as followed;
2009 - 29730
2008 - 30797
2007 - 30902
2006 - 31451

For example using Cedar Girl;
year 2006 - COP of 248
year 2007 - COP of 244 (reduction of 500 students)
year 2008 - COP of 244 (reduction of 100 students)
year 2009 - estimated COP of 242 ( reduction of 1000 students)

likewise for Anglican and TKGS

:celebrate:

Woww - u just made a loootttt of mums and dads happy :).

How would u think it will affect some mid-range schools like NJC, ACS(I) (sorry donno girls schools as mine is a boy). Would it affect the 240+ COP schools more than the 250+ COP schools??

[emerald]

CrazyDad:

The term \"Mid- Ranger\" is probably not appropriately applied to 240-255. Average T-Score is actually 200. 240 and above should falls well into the top 20% range.

Any idea about top 1% range, starting from 260+ or 270+...? Just curious.

[CrazyDad]

emerald:

CrazyDad:

The term \"Mid- Ranger\" is probably not appropriately applied to 240-255. Average T-Score is actually 200. 240 and above should falls well into the top 20% range.

Any idea about top 1% range, starting from 260+ or 270+...? Just curious.

This year cohort has a total of 48541 students. There are 6 schools taking student with T-Score of 260 and above (give and take 1-2 points). So we have a total of 400 X 6 = 2400 students, which is about 5%. So 260 and above should be considered top 5%. Top 1% refer to the top 500 students. Rare...

[CrazyDad]

harini:

CrazyDad:

Good news for everybody :celebrate:


This year the COP will be lower than last two years except for the top 4 schools. Here is how I came out with this forecast;

Comparing the number of students that go to Express from year 2006 to 2009 and the COP of a few of schools.

Looking at the number of student going to Express as followed;
2009 - 29730
2008 - 30797
2007 - 30902
2006 - 31451

For example using Cedar Girl;
year 2006 - COP of 248
year 2007 - COP of 244 (reduction of 500 students)
year 2008 - COP of 244 (reduction of 100 students)
year 2009 - estimated COP of 242 ( reduction of 1000 students)

likewise for Anglican and TKGS

:celebrate:

Woww - u just made a loootttt of mums and dads happy :).

How would u think it will affect some mid-range schools like NJC, ACS(I) (sorry donno girls schools as mine is a boy). Would it affect the 240+ COP schools more than the 250+ COP schools??

Since when NJC become a mid-range school

[CrazyDad]

CrazyDad:

emerald:

[quote=\"CrazyDad\"]

The term \"Mid- Ranger\" is probably not appropriately applied to 240-255. Average T-Score is actually 200. 240 and above should falls well into the top 20% range.

Any idea about top 1% range, starting from 260+ or 270+...? Just curious.

This year cohort has a total of 48541 students. There are 6 schools taking student with T-Score of 260 and above (give and take 1-2 points). So we have a total of 400 X 6 = 2400 students, which is about 5%. So 260 and above should be considered top 5%. Top 1% refer to the top 500 students. Rare...[/quote]Quick check a few of the non-GEP primary schools, there is an average of 5 students getting 270 and above. So top 1% should be at least 270.

[PSLE2010]

CrazyDad:

Hi Ooptimizer,


This is even better news. I know SOTA takes in students base on other talent, rather than result. But some good one will go to dilute the congestion.

Please let me know what school is \"SST\"?

[harini]

CrazyDad:

Since when NJC become a mid-range school

Ok lah - sorry - top of the range can ??

But u have not given an guestimate if their COp will go down :lol: . How abt ACS(I) ???

[westmom]

CrazyDad:

Quick check a few of the non-GEP primary schools, there is an average of 5 students getting 270 and above. So top 1% should be at least 270.

Appears that 270 top 1%, 260 top 5%, 250 top 10%, 240 top 20%....

[CrazyDad]

harini:

CrazyDad:

Since when NJC become a mid-range school

Ok lah - sorry - top of the range can ??

But u have not given an guestimate if their COp will go down :lol: . How abt ACS(I) ???

For IP school, so far the variation of COP has been limited to 1 point. So do not expect it to drop much. Probably another point for this year since the drop of the number of students is pretty significant.

Anyway, I am glad tha tyou have upgrade NJC to top tier again :rahrah:

[ycpang]

CrazyDad:

For IP school, so far the variation of COP has been limited to 1 point. So do not expect it to drop much. Probably another point for this year since the drop of the number of students is pretty significant.


Anyway, I am glad tha tyou have upgrade NJC to top tier again :rahrah:

My estimation and forecast as below:

Top 3 % - above 261 since this is the EESIS COP this year. If you calculate the total number of IP school, estimate their intakes, take 30% of them (according to MOE), divided by the cohort this year, you will find out that it is about top 3%.

We also know that 248 is the top 10% as this is the COP for 3rd Lang. (French, Japanese, German) this year.

So we can estimate the rests as below:

Top 3%: 261 and above
259 - 260: Top 4%
257 - 258: Top 5%
255 - 256: Top 6%
253 - 254: Top 7%
251 - 252: Top 8%
249 - 250: Top 9%
248: Top 10%

The total intake of all the IP schools is estimated to be around 5% ~ 6% of the cohort (take 400 x No. of IP school, divided by total no. of PSLE cohort).

I think this year the cohort in overall didn't do well. You can see from the drop of EESIS COP and the top 10% is now at COP 248!!

Also, you will notice that RI COP over the past few years was about 1 point below the EESIS while RGS and NYGH COPs were 1 ~ 2 points above RI or on the EESIS COP.

Therefore, we can estimate the RI COP this year is about 260, while RGS and NYGH will be around 261.

I also estimated that the COP for RVH will be either maintain or up due to their new campus and they are now \"truely\" at the west to attrach those live in the west.

HCI, DHS, ACSI COPs should go down as well. Boys' schools school such as HCI and ACSI may be affected most as their \"customers base\" is very limited and boys generally do not do as well as girls.

Anyway, we will find out on 22nd Dec. Good luck to all !! Cheers