2019 P1 Registration Exercise for 2020 In-take
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mirkat\" post_id=\"1923764\" time=\"1564379704\" user_id=\"158320:
Oh, cause we feel even if it goes into balloting for Horizon for 1-2km, there’s a higher chance to get in as compared to Punggol Green unless we interpret the data wrongly.[/quote]I will interpret the historical data differently. Predicted Number of Application (Or Oversubscription rate) is never a simple approximation to historical numbers (e.g. last year's number). In fact it should be a function of \"Vacancy\", \"Other Nearby Schools\" and \"Households within 1km\". When oversubscribed, the number of applicants is mainly affected by the average risk appetite of nearby households.
If you don’t want balloting, why are you going for Horizon? :?floppy\" post_id=\"1923741\" time=\"1564376505\" user_id=\"97579:
[quote=mirkat post_id=1923735 time=1564376244 user_id=158320]Hi,
We are having difficulty deciding which school to choose. First choice is Punggol Green but the vacancy is low and competition is hot! Thinking if we should just go for Horizon without going for balloting. Balloting is stressful haha.
Horizon Primary - 164 available (We live 1-2km)
Punggol Green - 47 available (We live less than 1km)
Like to hear from experienced folks here. Thanks much!
At best, Horizon will also be balloting for between 1-2km. So it’s a choice of balloting for Punggol Green or balloting for Horizon.
Make it short - you probably won't see another over 240+ applicants this year for Punggol Green. To be frank I don't think any school in Punggol \"worth\" an oversubscription rate > 200% given the increase of school supplies and limited \"rewards\" when enrolling in one school rather than another.
In your case, Punggol View might be another choice if you live within 1km. -
Punggol View will also ballot. Therefore, not exactly a better option.
The best school to avoid ballot will be drum roll Valour -
floppy\" post_id=\"1923806\" time=\"1564391593\" user_id=\"97579:
who knows for sure, maybe straight up to top in billboard! haha
Punggol View will also ballot. Therefore, not exactly a better option.
The best school to avoid ballot will be *drum roll* Valour -
Davischew\" post_id=\"1923769\" time=\"1564380712\" user_id=\"132882:
Horizon has been balloting for <1km in recent years.
Oh, cause we feel even if it goes into balloting for Horizon for 1-2km, there’s a higher chance to get in as compared to Punggol Green unless we interpret the data wrongly.mirkat\" post_id=\"1923764\" time=\"1564379704\" user_id=\"158320:
[quote=floppy post_id=1923741 time=1564376505 user_id=97579]
If you don’t want balloting, why are you going for Horizon? :?
At best, Horizon will also be balloting for between 1-2km. So it’s a choice of balloting for Punggol Green or balloting for Horizon.
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/article/punggol/[/quote]for some reason last year, Horizon was all in for SC, balloting was for PR within 1km. but it will be of that natural. everyone enrolling most probably within 1km, SC or PR.
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sprout\" post_id=\"1923805\" time=\"1564391327\" user_id=\"165459:
Your interpretation works if all intakes similar to previous year. For some reason the overall intake was cut by 200 in the area and thats inclusive of a new school, Valour. If the new school doesnt absorb the demand, all the usual schools will be hit (the usual mentality of \"if i failed in 2C, i can go in via 2Cs anyway\") . Risk appetite of Mee toh and Punggol green applicants are usually on par and if the catchment is within 1km parents of both school will prevent Punggol green odds to shoot through the roof (since mee toh has more vacancy this year), but it does look like they will be around 2.5 to 3 times oversubscribe, when something become hot, dont be surprised to see more than150 folks go for the 47 spots.
I will interpret the historical data differently. Predicted Number of Application (Or Oversubscription rate) is never a simple approximation to historical numbers (e.g. last year's number). In fact it should be a function of \"Vacancy\", \"Other Nearby Schools\" and \"Households within 1km\". When oversubscribed, the number of applicants is mainly affected by the average risk appetite of nearby households.
Make it short - you probably won't see another over 240+ applicants this year for Punggol Green. To be frank I don't think any school in Punggol \"worth\" an oversubscription rate > 200% given the increase of school supplies and limited \"rewards\" when enrolling in one school rather than another.
In your case, Punggol View might be another choice if you live within 1km.
PS: Please post more, I am sure you can open up some people's eyes better.
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Lexy\" post_id=\"1923813\" time=\"1564393968\" user_id=\"12180:
And what is Sporean favorite pastime? Queuing of coz
Your interpretation works if all intakes similar to previous year. For some reason the overall intake was cut by 200 in the area and thats inclusive of a new school, Valour. If the new school doesnt absorb the demand, all the usual schools will be hit (the usual mentality of \"if i failed in 2C, i can go in via 2Cs anyway\") . Risk appetite of Mee toh and Punggol green applicants are usually on par and if the catchment is within 1km parents of both school will prevent Punggol green odds to shoot through the roof (since mee toh has more vacancy this year), but it does look like they will be around 2.5 to 3 times oversubscribe, when something become hot, dont be surprised to see more than150 folks go for the 47 spots.sprout\" post_id=\"1923805\" time=\"1564391327\" user_id=\"165459:
I will interpret the historical data differently. Predicted Number of Application (Or Oversubscription rate) is never a simple approximation to historical numbers (e.g. last year's number). In fact it should be a function of \"Vacancy\", \"Other Nearby Schools\" and \"Households within 1km\". When oversubscribed, the number of applicants is mainly affected by the average risk appetite of nearby households.
Make it short - you probably won't see another over 240+ applicants this year for Punggol Green. To be frank I don't think any school in Punggol \"worth\" an oversubscription rate > 200% given the increase of school supplies and limited \"rewards\" when enrolling in one school rather than another.
In your case, Punggol View might be another choice if you live within 1km. -
rennug\" post_id=\"1923563\" time=\"1564325627\" user_id=\"110169:
We are at the same situation.
Phase 2C starts tomorrow (29 Jul) and ends 01 Aug. We are SCs living within 1km of NCPS.
What we know at this point:
1. There are 59 vacancies in Phase 2C in 2019
2. Historicallu, balloting is needed even for SCs living within 1km
3. There were 52, 72, 74 places in Phase 2C in 2018, 2017, 2016 respectively
4. There were 203, 203, 183 applicants in Phase 2C in 2018, 2017, 2016 respectively. Most (if not all) are likely to be SCs within 1km too.
5. Based on Points 3 & 4, chances of being successful in the ballot is approx 25% - 40%.
6. Based on the increasingly higher demand in this growing estate, we estimate a 29% chance of being successful in the ballot.
7. Compassvale Pri has 129 places in Phase 2C this year so there's an approx 90% - 100% chance for SCs within 1km.
Question: Does the school update the number of applications received at the school in real time and whether these applicants are within 1km? MOE only provides an end of day update of the number of applicants at 8pm.
As parents whose kids are in NCPS, do you regret placing your kids there? Heard about the stress about being in an 'elite' primary school and the supposed focus only on the top and bottom performers there.
Your thoughts are much appreciated as we make this important decision over the next few days. Thank you!
My original plan was to try at NCPS and Springdale will be my back up for 2CS. But after phase 2A2, my initial plan is out because around 80 seats were taken by MOE kindergarten, guess it wont have any vacancies left for 2CS.
So now not sure to register Compassvale at 2C or still to try NCPS, and source for another back up for 2CS. -
floppy\" post_id=\"1923806\" time=\"1564391593\" user_id=\"97579:
Just curious there were 3 registered in P2B for Valour, what could be the reason? :scratchhead:
Punggol View will also ballot. Therefore, not exactly a better option.
The best school to avoid ballot will be *drum roll* Valour -
hethet\" post_id=\"1923823\" time=\"1564398913\" user_id=\"172534:
GRL.
Just curious there were 3 registered in P2B for Valour, what could be the reason? :scratchhead:floppy\" post_id=\"1923806\" time=\"1564391593\" user_id=\"97579:
Punggol View will also ballot. Therefore, not exactly a better option.
The best school to avoid ballot will be *drum roll* Valour
Some people may prefer the smell of a new school. -
floppy\" post_id=\"1923826\" time=\"1564399242\" user_id=\"97579:
GRL.
Just curious there were 3 registered in P2B for Valour, what could be the reason? :scratchhead:hethet\" post_id=\"1923823\" time=\"1564398913\" user_id=\"172534:
[quote=floppy post_id=1923806 time=1564391593 user_id=97579]Punggol View will also ballot. Therefore, not exactly a better option.
The best school to avoid ballot will be *drum roll* Valour
Some people may prefer the smell of a new school.[/quote]I am guessing PR status. Choose the safest school in their GRL boundary because no chance if ballot with other GRL.
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