2021 P1 Registration Exercise for 2022 In-take

[zac's mum]

Fabbymum\" post_id=\"2029922\" time=\"1625845805\" user_id=\"10794:

Now that we have been kicked out from 2A2 of Rosyth, what are the odds for XinMin primary under 1-2km priority?

Any advice and reference on historical data for XinMin School is much appreciated, thank you!

Scroll down to Hougang:
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621&start=40

Colour code:
Red = balloting <1km
Yellow = balloting 1-2km
Green = balloting >2km

[Fabbymum]

Thank you so much, this is useful…


For the registration period, will we get a chance to look at the number of applicants based on distance from school?

zac's mum\" post_id=\"2029923\" time=\"1625846515\" user_id=\"53606:[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=2029923 time=1625846515 user_id=53606]

Fabbymum\" post_id=\"2029922\" time=\"1625845805\" user_id=\"10794:

Scroll down to Hougang:
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621&start=40

Colour code:
Red = balloting <1km
Yellow = balloting 1-2km
Green = balloting >2km

[Lexy]

Fabbymum\" post_id=\"2029925\" time=\"1625846874\" user_id=\"10794:

Thank you so much, this is useful…

For the registration period, will we get a chance to look at the number of applicants based on distance from school?

zac's mum\" post_id=\"2029923\" time=\"1625846515\" user_id=\"53606:[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=2029923 time=1625846515 user_id=53606]

Now that we have been kicked out from 2A2 of Rosyth, what are the odds for XinMin primary under 1-2km priority?

Any advice and reference on historical data for XinMin School is much appreciated, thank you!

Scroll down to Hougang:
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621&start=40

Colour code:
Red = balloting <1km
Yellow = balloting 1-2km
Green = balloting >2km

[/quote]MOE website does not release the breakdown, school may or may not release when you enquire.

Which phase are you refering to for Xinmin?
For xinmin, at the moment, it looks towards a balloting within 1km for 2C.

[Fabbymum]

Thank you...keeping fingers crossed....

Lexy\" post_id=\"2029926\" time=\"1625847164\" user_id=\"12180:

Fabbymum\" post_id=\"2029925\" time=\"1625846874\" user_id=\"10794:

Thank you so much, this is useful…

For the registration period, will we get a chance to look at the number of applicants based on distance from school?


[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=2029923 time=1625846515 user_id=53606]
Scroll down to Hougang:
https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621&start=40

Colour code:
Red = balloting <1km
Yellow = balloting 1-2km
Green = balloting >2km

MOE website does not release the breakdown, school may or may not release when you enquire.

Which phase are you refering to for Xinmin?
For xinmin, at the moment, it looks towards a balloting within 1km for 2C.[/quote]

[Aixuan]

I am feeling nervous as I only have 2C !! Good luck to all

[floppy]

Aixuan\" post_id=\"2030023\" time=\"1625920726\" user_id=\"177876:

I am feeling nervous as I only have 2C !! Good luck to all

Technically, you still have 2CS before the MOE takes over.

[phtthp]

.

[floppy]

Lexy\" post_id=\"2029903\" time=\"1625831137\" user_id=\"12180:

Not yet analyse the MK schools in totality but my recollection of Horizon and Riverside is that both were MK last year as well.

Update post : Horizon MK took in K1 in 2020, so should expect an increase in 2A2 this year. Waterway, Oasis increased ard 60-70 due to MK. so could be possible to have balloting situation at Horizon at 2A2.

While it means some school will go into balloting due to MK, the oods may not be as bad as 2C when places become more scarce, the entry into MK already have spilt hair distance into 500m interval plus priority for those with siblings in MK or Primary.The fight zone is actually 2C when places are limited.

Anyway Rulang maybe be around 2-3X and temasek around 3-4X oversubscribed. With limited alternative in 2A2, folks will still enrol and try.

This is my take:
- Taking in the total number of applications for Phase 2A1 and Phase 2A2 in 2020 (potential no. of former students)
- Less the number of applications for Phase 2A2 in 2021
- Remainder (potential incoming) compared to the vacancy for Phase 2A2 in 2021

Very High Risk, i.e. potential incoming > vacancy
1. Temasek Primary School (-33)
2. Rulang Primary School (-26)
3. Gongshang Primary School (-9)
4. St. Hilda’s Primary School (-9)
5. Fairfield Methodist School (Primary) (-4)
6. Tao Nan School (-4)
7. Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) (-1)

High Risk, i.e. less than 10 places between potential incoming and vacancy
1. Chongzheng Primary School (4)
2. Henry Park Primary School (6)
3. Yu Neng Primary School (6)
4. Red Swastika School (8)
5. Nan Hua Primary School* (9)
6. Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary School (9)

*Nan Hua is an interesting case.
No. of applicants for Phase 2A1 in 2021 (88) has already exceeded last year's (84). That suggests it may not have many potential applicants for Phase 2A2 as most would have been spooked enough to sign up. Thankfully, the number of vacancy for Phase 2A1 in 2021 (93) is significantly more (+20.3%) than last year's (77) which helps to absorb all the applicants for Phase 2A1. Notwithstanding, I won't discount the possibility of some alumni who might not have signed up but could decide to jump into the mix once Phase 2A2 opens.

[CALYNSEA]

floppy\" post_id=\"2030239\" time=\"1626061919\" user_id=\"97579:

Lexy\" post_id=\"2029903\" time=\"1625831137\" user_id=\"12180:

Not yet analyse the MK schools in totality but my recollection of Horizon and Riverside is that both were MK last year as well.

Update post : Horizon MK took in K1 in 2020, so should expect an increase in 2A2 this year. Waterway, Oasis increased ard 60-70 due to MK. so could be possible to have balloting situation at Horizon at 2A2.

While it means some school will go into balloting due to MK, the oods may not be as bad as 2C when places become more scarce, the entry into MK already have spilt hair distance into 500m interval plus priority for those with siblings in MK or Primary.The fight zone is actually 2C when places are limited.

Anyway Rulang maybe be around 2-3X and temasek around 3-4X oversubscribed. With limited alternative in 2A2, folks will still enrol and try.

This is my take:
- Taking in the total number of applications for Phase 2A1 and Phase 2A2 in 2020 (potential no. of former students)
- Less the number of applications for Phase 2A2 in 2021
- Remainder (potential incoming) compared to the vacancy for Phase 2A2 in 2021

Very High Risk, i.e. potential incoming > vacancy
1. Temasek Primary School (-33)
2. Rulang Primary School (-26)
3. Gongshang Primary School (-9)
4. St. Hilda’s Primary School (-9)
5. Fairfield Methodist School (Primary) (-4)
6. Tao Nan School (-4)
7. Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) (-1)

High Risk, i.e. less than 10 places between potential incoming and vacancy
1. Chongzheng Primary School (4)
2. Henry Park Primary School (6)
3. Yu Neng Primary School (6)
4. Red Swastika School (8)
5. Nan Hua Primary School* (9)
6. Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary School (9)

*Nan Hua is an interesting case.
No. of applicants for Phase 2A1 in 2021 (88) has already exceeded last year's (84). That suggests it may not have many potential applicants for Phase 2A2 as most would have been spooked enough to sign up. Thankfully, the number of vacancy for Phase 2A1 in 2021 (93) is significantly more (+20.3%) than last year's (77) which helps to absorb all the applicants for Phase 2A1. Notwithstanding, I won't discount the possibility of some alumni who might not have signed up but could decide to jump into the mix once Phase 2A2 opens.

Actually initially I thought like wise too for some other schools, like maybe looking at last year applicants, some might have signed up to be alumni so as to qualify for 2A1 this year and thus 2A2 applicants this year may be lower. But I went to look at MOE website and saw that need to join alumni no later than 30 June 2020, which mean for 2021 applicants, if they saw 2020 applicants numbers and decided to sign up for alumni, it will be too late?

[floppy]

CALYNSEA\" post_id=\"2030253\" time=\"1626066176\" user_id=\"181903:

floppy\" post_id=\"2030239\" time=\"1626061919\" user_id=\"97579:

[quote=Lexy post_id=2029903 time=1625831137 user_id=12180]Not yet analyse the MK schools in totality but my recollection of Horizon and Riverside is that both were MK last year as well.

Update post : Horizon MK took in K1 in 2020, so should expect an increase in 2A2 this year. Waterway, Oasis increased ard 60-70 due to MK. so could be possible to have balloting situation at Horizon at 2A2.

While it means some school will go into balloting due to MK, the oods may not be as bad as 2C when places become more scarce, the entry into MK already have spilt hair distance into 500m interval plus priority for those with siblings in MK or Primary.The fight zone is actually 2C when places are limited.

Anyway Rulang maybe be around 2-3X and temasek around 3-4X oversubscribed. With limited alternative in 2A2, folks will still enrol and try.

This is my take:
- Taking in the total number of applications for Phase 2A1 and Phase 2A2 in 2020 (potential no. of former students)
- Less the number of applications for Phase 2A2 in 2021
- Remainder (potential incoming) compared to the vacancy for Phase 2A2 in 2021

Very High Risk, i.e. potential incoming > vacancy
1. Temasek Primary School (-33)
2. Rulang Primary School (-26)
3. Gongshang Primary School (-9)
4. St. Hilda’s Primary School (-9)
5. Fairfield Methodist School (Primary) (-4)
6. Tao Nan School (-4)
7. Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) (-1)

High Risk, i.e. less than 10 places between potential incoming and vacancy
1. Chongzheng Primary School (4)
2. Henry Park Primary School (6)
3. Yu Neng Primary School (6)
4. Red Swastika School (8)
5. Nan Hua Primary School* (9)
6. Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary School (9)

*Nan Hua is an interesting case.
No. of applicants for Phase 2A1 in 2021 (88) has already exceeded last year's (84). That suggests it may not have many potential applicants for Phase 2A2 as most would have been spooked enough to sign up. Thankfully, the number of vacancy for Phase 2A1 in 2021 (93) is significantly more (+20.3%) than last year's (77) which helps to absorb all the applicants for Phase 2A1. Notwithstanding, I won't discount the possibility of some alumni who might not have signed up but could decide to jump into the mix once Phase 2A2 opens.

Actually initially I thought like wise too for some other schools, like maybe looking at last year applicants, some might have signed up to be alumni so as to qualify for 2A1 this year and thus 2A2 applicants this year may be lower. But I went to look at MOE website and saw that need to join alumni no later than 30 June 2020, which mean for 2021 applicants, if they saw 2020 applicants numbers and decided to sign up for alumni, it will be too late?[/quote]Most would have signed up before 30 June 2020. There will be some 'laggards' but the numbers won't be huge since most of the high risk schools are already there or thereabouts for so many years.

Names like Rulang, St. Hilda’s, Tao Nan, MGS, Henry Park, Red Swastika and Nan Hua wouldn't surprise anyone that they are at high risk this year, or last year, or any other year. What's probably unpredictable is the number of Phase 1 applicants since that could vary widely every year. Regardless of what happen to the MOE review on P1 registration, parents with old boys / old girls status who are aiming for these popular schools (including the Phase 2A1 balloted schools) should join the alumni association ASAP. If, indeed that MOE is further going to reduce the number of available vacancy for Phase 2A1 and Phase 2A2, it's going to become harder to get in.