2022 P1 Registration Exercise for 2023 In-take

[Lexy]

SG_KP1\" post_id=\"2072300\" time=\"1656491834\" user_id=\"188234:

For the gurus, any bold predictions? Think 2A at the powerhouse schools will still be at worst > 2 km or someone hits 1-2 km or < 1 km?

Total intake this year is about 3% lesser than last year. Day 1 for Phase 1 number is also 3% lower than last year's Day 1 number. Most schools would record all the numbers on day 1 barring some. Upwards for day 2 is around 5% overall.

Having said that, using current application numbers on day 1 for phase 1. and if we use last year 2A application numbers, 25 schools will be oversubscribed in 2A.

Fight zone may not necessarily be for alumni but also for MK.

I have Frontier and Gongshang as such examples.

Due to the density of the punggol area, it will not be surprising for 1-2km or even <1km balloting for punggol green and punggol view in 2A

Southview, Rulang and PHPPS would have huge deficits.

Chongzheng will test its distance balloting this year due to the low available number, now stand at 31 for 2A.

The usual 2A star of the show is usually SNGS, if we use last year 2A1 numbers plus a potential of 20 more in 2A2, although it may hit the biggest deficit eventually (minus 50), it may escape with a balloting at >2km in 2A (if phase 1 stay at 60, 30 lesser than last year)

Since there are many adjusting factors this year like minus 20 spots, more MKs and merging 2A1 and 2A2, its harder to guess the distance factor. But it will make future folks move closer in order to increase the odds.

Anyway, folks usually do not have many alternatives in 2A, so if you only have 1 choice, apply and wait for the results.

Below are the schools showing potential of oversubscription in 2A after day 1 phase 1.

Pei Hwa Presbyterian
Frontier Primary
Rulang Primary
South View Primary
Gongshang Primary
Pei Chun Public
Westwood Primary
CHIJ St. Nicholas Girls’ School
Punggol Green Primary
Punggol View Primary
Nan Hua Primary
Temasek Primary
Holy Innocents’ Primary
West Spring Primary
Chongzheng Primary
Yu Neng Primary
Horizon Primary
Fairfield Methodist
Catholic High
Tao Nan
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary)
Radin Mas
Methodist Girls’ School
Pasir Ris Primary
Fern Green Primary

[blesseddad]

Do the vacancies that’s shown in MOE site for each primary school excludes the Phase 2s that are set aside?

[floppy]

blesseddad\" post_id=\"2072434\" time=\"1656547834\" user_id=\"6241:

Do the vacancies that's shown in MOE site for each primary school excludes the Phase 2s that are set aside?

Yes. Excluded.

[blesseddad]

floppy\" post_id=\"2072437\" time=\"1656548679\" user_id=\"97579:

Yes. Excluded.

Thanks. So after subtracting the number of applicants from the available vacancies in Phase 1 is the vacancies for Phase 2A.

[floppy]

blesseddad\" post_id=\"2072441\" time=\"1656549672\" user_id=\"6241:

Thanks. So after subtracting the number of applicants from the available vacancies in Phase 1 is the vacancies for Phase 2A.

In simple terms, yes

Subsequently, the balance from Phase 2A numbers will be subdivided in 1/3 and 2/3 proportion, and added to 20 and 40 for Phase 2B and 2C availability.

[blesseddad]

floppy\" post_id=\"2072443\" time=\"1656550442\" user_id=\"97579:

In simple terms, yes

Subsequently, the balance from Phase 2A numbers will be subdivided in 1/3 and 2/3 proportion, and added to 20 and 40 for Phase 2B and 2C availability.

Ok thanks. Waiting patiently for end of 2A and start of 2C then... :xedfingers:

[Zeal mummy]

School vacancies


To ensure continued open access to all schools in later phases, we are reserving 20 places in each primary school in Phase 2B and 40 places in each primary school in Phase 2C. This means a total of 60 places reserved places will be set aside in all schools at the start of the P1 Registration Exercise.

In addition to these reserved places, one-third of any remaining vacancies at the end of Phase 2A will be allocated to Phase 2B, and two-thirds to Phase 2C.

A cap on the intake of Permanent Resident (PR) children will be applied in Phases 2C and 2C Supplementary in some schools, to prevent concentration of PR children in our primary schools. Learn about it.

Check for vacancies in your preferred schools during the P1 Registration Exercise. We will display the final balloting status of all schools at the end of each registration phase.

Source: https://www.moe.gov.sg/primary/p1-registration/vacancies-and-balloting

[ChiefKiasu]

Lexy\" post_id=\"2072374\" time=\"1656518224\" user_id=\"12180:

Total intake this year is about 3% lesser than last year. Day 1 for Phase 1 number is also 3% lower than last year's Day 1 number. Most schools would record all the numbers on day 1 barring some. Upwards for day 2 is around 5% overall.
...

Thank you for your detailed analysis!

I'll list your projected Phase 2A schools that needs balloting in order:
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary)
Catholic High
CHIJ St. Nicholas Girls’ School
Chongzheng Primary
Fairfield Methodist
Fern Green Primary
Frontier Primary
Gongshang Primary
Holy Innocents’ Primary
Horizon Primary
Methodist Girls’ School
Nan Hua Primary
Pasir Ris Primary
Pei Chun Public
Pei Hwa Presbyterian
Punggol Green Primary
Punggol View Primary
Radin Mas
Rulang Primary
South View Primary
Tao Nan
Temasek Primary
West Spring Primary
Westwood Primary
Yu Neng Primary

Only 2 schools are not in our list of projections:
Fern Green Primary
Punggol View Primary

Fern Green Primary did suffer a -40 seat reduction in its vacancies, while Punggol View lost -30 seats.
So they might become more competitive this year.
We shall see... :nailbite:

[blesseddad]

Anyone knows what is the number of Phase 1 applications for KCPPS in 2021?


Thanks

[floppy]

blesseddad\" post_id=\"2072569\" time=\"1656570649\" user_id=\"6241:

Anyone knows what is the number of Phase 1 applications for KCPPS in 2021?

Thanks

Have to wait for Chief...

But I can also tell you it's 82 :rotflmao:

Therefore, this year, based on last night's figure, is already +20 vs last year.