2018 P1 registration exercise for 2019 intake

[Lexy]

Quasimodo:

Orb:

[quote=\"Sag\"]

Maris stand a good chance within 1km to get in. St. Andrews likelybneed go ballot.

Maris may ballot within 1km with the new developments within bidadari. St gabriels is safe. Ballot for st andrews.

I agree. In fact, both St Andrews and Maris Stella have historically been relatively safe at <1km, however with the Bididari development coupled with Dragon year, the numbers will be unpredictable. Both Alkaff Vista and Oasis will TOP in 2020 which means those residents will be eligible to apply from 2018 onwards.[/quote]Maris Stella is safer than St andrew. Usually we won’t know the exact applicants over the slots for balloting for >2km unless you dig through last year thread.

In the event that Maria Stella need a ballot for 1km, the odds should be fairly good as well. I think it’s going to be close call that it just fill up by 1km folks.

St Gabriel should be sure in for 1-2km.

[janet88]

grace2011:

janet88:

Alexandra very likely to face balloting within 1km. which is safer at 2CS - chij kellock or zhangde?

Last year Zhangde did not last till 2CS, this year might not also as it is dragon year.

saw Lexy's table...zhangde column is highlighted in purple.

so kellock is still safer than zhangde if risk appetite for APS is high. thanks for the advice.

[What The]

Lexy:

Sze_sze:

Thanks Lexy!
Her younger son will be in P1 by 2021 (horse), registration in year 2020!
Perhaps another competitive year too?

2 years later is as competitive as this year.

I think the next competitive year will be for the SG50 babies

[skii]

Don’t need to guess.

All info are in singstat.

Newborns.
2010: 37.9 (tiger)
2011: 39.6k (rabbit)
2012: 42.6k (dragon) <— current p1 registration
2013: 39.7k (snake)
2014: 42.2k (horse)
2015: 42.1k (Sg50 and sheep)
2016: 41.2 (monkey)

What The:

Lexy:

[quote=\"Sze_sze\"]Thanks Lexy!
Her younger son will be in P1 by 2021 (horse), registration in year 2020!
Perhaps another competitive year too?

2 years later is as competitive as this year.

I think the next competitive year will be for the SG50 babies[/quote]

[What The]

Horse and sheep - Two hot years… wow

[Lexy]

skii:

Don’t need to guess.

All info are in singstat.

Newborns.
2010: 37.9 (tiger)
2011: 39.6k (rabbit)
2012: 42.6k (dragon) <— current p1 registration
2013: 39.7k (snake)
2014: 42.2k (horse)
2015: 42.1k (Sg50 and sheep)
2016: 41.2 (monkey)

What The:

[quote=\"Lexy\"]
2 years later is as competitive as this year.

I think the next competitive year will be for the SG50 babies

[/quote]
everyone has their own reference. mine is here. I look just at citizen

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=89504&p=1856824&hilit=birth#p1856835

someone else also tried to split by gender, we are really really very KS.

[skii]

Yep.

If not kiasu - not Singaporen already

Lexy:

everyone has their own reference. mine is here. I look just at citizen

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=89504&p=1856824&hilit=birth#p1856835

someone else also tried to split by gender, we are really really very KS.

[overclk2000]

Lexy:

Folks: i did an update for TUR till 2B 20 July 2018. You may use it and make reference/comparison to the balloting history for the past years.


https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=91621#p1860373

My eyes blurred and brain fried le. should be out of action for a couple of days.

thanks Lexy

[zac's mum]

Lexy…just wondering how do u post a table on KSP? Is it you have to prepare it in Excel then convert to PDF and upload as image?


I am considering preparing & posting my table of affiliated secondary schools cut-off points.

[rainbowdeng]

[quote=\"skii\"]Don’t need to guess.

All info are in singstat.

Newborns.
2010: 37.9 (tiger)
2011: 39.6k (rabbit)
2012: 42.6k (dragon) <— current p1 registration
2013: 39.7k (snake)
2014: 42.2k (horse)
2015: 42.1k (Sg50 and sheep)
2016: 41.2 (monkey)


[quote=\"What The\"][quote=\"Lexy\"]

I am a strong believer in data.
However I spent months by staring at those birth data (with order with ethics etc) but I couldn’t figure out the correlation..

The big confusion is: how to predict how many vacancy left for 2b/2c...
By looking at past data, phase 1 will account from 45% to 55% etc for one particular school and in the end the vacancy left for 2b/2c is quite different...
This makes quite difference in the TUR as the vacancy left is the denominator....

:nunchuk: