[Jurong West] Primary Schools

[CocoNut]

RRMummy:

CocoNut:

In Rulang,Ph 2B, how applicants >2km vying for the seats?

Is this what you want to know CocoNut?

nuttyjo:

balloting only for outside 2km. BTW, my house is slightly out of the circle, perhap 0.1

Anyway, tomoro is the balloting (8am) and 10 vying for 8 places. I need all the gd luck, plse!

Thanks again RRMummy. :salute:

[CocoNut]

ChiefKiasu:

RRMummy:

[quote=\"fenming\"]last year the app rate for Phase 2C is 190% for Rulang.therefore the chances of getting in is 52% (100/190).

this year i pray that the app rate for <1km is less than 190% since the birth rate for 2003 is lower.somemore those who has oldest siblings should get in.really cross my fingers.

But since there were 100+ people applying for PV and only 40+ selected plus a number or people who missed/did not apply for PV.. well chances are it will exceed the 190% this year..but like I said I do hope I'm dead wrong..

I wouldn't just look at last year's. The average APP in Phase 2C for schools in Jurong West from 2006-2008 are:

Boon Lay Garden\t\t29%\tAverage deviation: 0%Corporation Primary\t24%\tAverage deviation: 4%Jurong West Primary\t220%\tAverage deviation: 32%Juying Primary\t17%\tAverage deviation: 2%Lakeside Primary\t55%\tAverage deviation: 7%Pioneer Primary\t40%\tAverage deviation: 14%Rulang Primary\t297%\tAverage deviation: 71%Shuqun Primary\t109%\tAverage deviation: 5%West Grove Primary\t298%\tAverage deviation: 30%Xingnan Primary\t87%\tAverage deviation: 25%

The lower the average deviation, the more certain the number. By the looks of it, people going for Rulang may be in for a wild ride with 71% average deviation![/quote]Hi Chief!

Its really a nerve wrecking news. Must really made up my mind soon!

[RRMummy]

ChiefKiasu:

By the looks of it, people going for Rulang may be in for a wild ride with 71% average deviation!

:!: 71% The numbers are really nerve-wrecking! That's why I think unless I can get into Phase 2B for Rulang otherwise won't go for its Phase 2C.. never had this type of luck! :roll:

[RRMummy]

CocoNut:

Thanks again RRMummy. :salute:

You are most welcome! So what's your backup plan?

[fenming]

you guys are lucky.still can go for phase 2B.i only have the last choice.somemore low chance.if deviation is 71%,what are my chances?29%.haiz

[titank]

Wow Rulang Primary is the most hottest school, seem like chances to get in like 25%.


Maybe those can start planning to head other school instead of facing the heat again in Phase 2C Supplementary.

[cathycho]

Does it mean that chances to get in Rulang is slim even we stay within 1km?

[fenming]

yes,cathycho.Rulang always have balloting within 1km.i just pray that not many people within 1km.no chance for those more than 1km at all and low chance for those within 2km.very high risk.

[cathycho]

Will they reveal how many applicants within 1 km say, if i reqister on the last day? Anyone knows?


Still thinkg hard to go for Rulang or Shuqun? How’s is Shuqun?

[ChiefKiasu]

cathycho:

Does it mean that chances to get in Rulang is slim even we stay within 1km?

If we use standard deviation (not average deviation as indicated above) and the data found http://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/content/2010-p1-registration-phase-2c, assuming normal distribution, there is a:
68% likelihood that the APP for Rulang will be between 205% - 389%. The standard deviation is really too wide to make anymore definite predicton. Its TUR in Phase 2B this year is also higher than average, leaving less places for Phase 2C than normal. I would estimate a 1 in 3 chance for people trying for Rulang in Phase 2C.

If you are outside of 1km Rulang, it is extremely unlikely you even get a chance to ballot in Phase 2C. Better to spend your time researching something else.