2016 P1 Registration Exercise for 2017 In-Take

[galaxyraider]

Savannah00:

Hi parents, want to check something about address. The address on my child's birth cert is different to our home address on our IC. That time we haven't bought our own house yet. Will it be fine??

They only use the parents' address on the NRICs as they should reflect the current address.

[grapevine]

Does anyone understand kiasu chiefs’ 2C analysis? Does -30 change in vacancies mean that that particular school will have less places in 2C or more applications this year? Bukit Timah primary has -30 Vacancies, but usually this school has more than sufficient places for phase 2C.

[ngpetert]

grapevine:

Does anyone understand kiasu chiefs' 2C analysis? Does -30 change in vacancies mean that that particular school will have less places in 2C or more applications this year? Bukit Timah primary has -30 Vacancies, but usually this school has more than sufficient places for phase 2C.

My understanding of -30 relates to the vacancy for the entire school, not merely a reduction of spaces in 2C, eg due to move to single session.

Bukit Timah Primary has more vacancies this year vs. number of last year's registration.

[ptb7476]

grapevine:

Does anyone understand kiasu chiefs' 2C analysis? Does -30 change in vacancies mean that that particular school will have less places in 2C or more applications this year? Bukit Timah primary has -30 Vacancies, but usually this school has more than sufficient places for phase 2C.

the way i interpreted it as -30 means there is a shortage of 30 seats for phase 2c based on historical take up rate

[charlie_brown]

grapevine:

Does anyone understand kiasu chiefs' 2C analysis? Does -30 change in vacancies mean that that particular school will have less places in 2C or more applications this year? Bukit Timah primary has -30 Vacancies, but usually this school has more than sufficient places for phase 2C.

Chief's has stated this analysis is based on \"the remaining places of each school (which may be changed after the Phase 2B ballot this Friday) against the Phase 2C demand for places in each school last year (2015). This allows us to identify the schools at the greatest risk of oversubscription, should demand remain unchanged this year\".

However, demand might not be the same for this year due to lower birth rate..I pray.. :xedfingers:

[charlie_brown]

ptb7476:

grapevine:

Does anyone understand kiasu chiefs' 2C analysis? Does -30 change in vacancies mean that that particular school will have less places in 2C or more applications this year? Bukit Timah primary has -30 Vacancies, but usually this school has more than sufficient places for phase 2C.

the way i interpreted it as -30 means there is a shortage of 30 seats for phase 2c based on historical take up rate

I also interpreted it like this.

[ptb7476]

charlie_brown:

ptb7476:

[quote=\"grapevine\"]Does anyone understand kiasu chiefs' 2C analysis? Does -30 change in vacancies mean that that particular school will have less places in 2C or more applications this year? Bukit Timah primary has -30 Vacancies, but usually this school has more than sufficient places for phase 2C.

the way i interpreted it as -30 means there is a shortage of 30 seats for phase 2c based on historical take up rate

I also interpreted it like this.[/quote]but one thing i am not sure is ... are we comparing apple with apple

in 2009 the birth rate was 39570 and in 2010 it was 37967 ... so when working out the prediction , did the 2009 figures being adjusted to mirror the birth rate of 2010

[Mr.025413Clumsy]

ptb7476:

but one thing i am not sure is ... are we comparing apple with apple


in 2009 the birth rate was 39570 and in 2010 it was 37967 ... so when working out the prediction , did the 2009 figures being adjusted to mirror the birth rate of 2010

As much as Chief can look into the crystal ball, there's no way to provide an accurate prediction. There are many variables which can alter the outcome including the birth date of children in 2010 (apparently, parents did not want Tiger girls?? Sigh!).

What Chief has done is to provide a best-guess-estimate which I think is about as 'accurate' as we can get at the moment. If Chief can do better, we should rename this site to Kiasu4D

[ptb7476]

Technospaz:

ptb7476:

but one thing i am not sure is ... are we comparing apple with apple


in 2009 the birth rate was 39570 and in 2010 it was 37967 ... so when working out the prediction , did the 2009 figures being adjusted to mirror the birth rate of 2010

As much as Chief can look into the crystal ball, there's no way to provide an accurate prediction. There are many variables which can alter the outcome including the birth date of children in 2010 (apparently, parents did not want Tiger girls?? Sigh!).

What Chief has done is to provide a best-guess-estimate which I think is about as 'accurate' as we can get at the moment. If Chief can do better, we should rename this site to Kiasu4D

dont get me wrong , i am not complaining . i appreciate what chief has done

at least he bother to do all these prediction and collate statistic .. it make life alot easier for those registering for p1

[grimm]

Technospaz:

ptb7476:

but one thing i am not sure is ... are we comparing apple with apple


in 2009 the birth rate was 39570 and in 2010 it was 37967 ... so when working out the prediction , did the 2009 figures being adjusted to mirror the birth rate of 2010

As much as Chief can look into the crystal ball, there's no way to provide an accurate prediction. There are many variables which can alter the outcome including the birth date of children in 2010 (apparently, parents did not want Tiger girls?? Sigh!).

What Chief has done is to provide a best-guess-estimate which I think is about as 'accurate' as we can get at the moment. If Chief can do better, we should rename this site to Kiasu4D

Indeed and don't forget anomalies can happen.