2019 P1 Registration Exercise for 2020 In-take

[Lexy]

zac's mum\" post_id=\"1918986\" time=\"1562828879\" user_id=\"53606:[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=1918986 time=1562828879 user_id=53606]
Based on previous trends of various other schools that underwent renovation/temporary holding sites, I believe the popularity always tends to drop during those registration years when the temp location is inconvenient/much further away from the original site.

And then when the renovation is done & moving back to the original (new) premises, the popularity will go back up again.

That’s all I know.[/quote]

in that case the applicants may be +- 13 from 200. ie, range from 187 to 213.

[SpiderDad]

Lexy\" post_id=\"1918971\" time=\"1562826960\" user_id=\"12180:

SpiderDad\" post_id=\"1918968\" time=\"1562826179\" user_id=\"158946:

[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=1918853 time=1562810041 user_id=53606]
Here: https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/article/novena/

RED colour always means proceed with caution.

Thank you for clarifying!

From the table I assume no balloting for SC <1km under 2b for awhile now?

2015 all SC <1km went in. All others got nothing
2016 Balloting for SC<1km
2017 balloting for SC >2km
2018 All SC <1km went in.

2019 TUR until 2A1 is higher than 2015, 2017 and 2018 now. (lower than 2016)[/quote]

[howard1019]

sprout\" post_id=\"1918793\" time=\"1562752648\" user_id=\"165459:

I made a p1-registration statistics page to keep track schools in a watch list.

https://balloting.xyz/

Happy balloting!

Thank you very much for sharing...this is cool!!

[Davischew]

Lexy\" post_id=\"1918984\" time=\"1562828681\" user_id=\"12180:

kit_SG\" post_id=\"1918978\" time=\"1562827628\" user_id=\"175360:

[quote=Lexy post_id=1918975 time=1562827457 user_id=12180]
Are you SC? and staying 1-2km of the TKPS?

PR staying within 1-2KM.

I should be asking if your kiddo applying as SC or PR?

I looked through the past 12 years, the only one time balloting was done in 2C was in 2012 and the balloting was done for PR staying 1-2km. Past stats give a good indication of what the future lies.

The problem for TKPS this year is the 40 places cut for the intake from 240 to 200. 2 years that seen less than 200 applicants until 2C is 2017 & 2018. If situation in Ngee ann remain low then perhaps more parents will try there and TKPS will see a continuation of 2017 & 2018 (ie lower than 200 applicants).

If you are applying as a PR, you need to secure your place while not fighting for places with the SCs. Meaning you also need backup choices in 2C, if the numbers in TKPS is filled up, by all SC and PR<1km, you need to move to the next choice of school which doesn't require you to ballot.

Hope the above helps.[/quote]You might want to consider CHIJ Katong/St. Stephen's if your 1-2km is nearer to Marine Parade side. Both have chances for PR based on previous years, and affiliated to Sec Sch.

[Stylomum]

zac's mum\" post_id=\"1918986\" time=\"1562828879\" user_id=\"53606:[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=1918986 time=1562828879 user_id=53606]
Based on previous trends of various other schools that underwent renovation/temporary holding sites, I believe the popularity always tends to drop during those registration years when the temp location is inconvenient/much further away from the original site.

And then when the renovation is done & moving back to the original (new) premises, the popularity will go back up again.

That’s all I know.[/quote]

yeap, one school that might see increased applications is CHIJ Kellock. They moved into their original new premised in 2018. In 2016, 2017, there are availability in P2CS. In 2018 there is balloting for P2C for SC only (PR didn't get a chance to ballot). Similar stats should be seen this year, that is, all spots to be taken up in P2C, and there will be no P2CS. Question is if PR gets a chance to ballot in P2C.

[daze12]

sprout\" post_id=\"1918793\" time=\"1562752648\" user_id=\"165459:

I made a p1-registration statistics page to keep track schools in a watch list.

https://balloting.xyz/

Happy balloting!

Thank you Sprout. What does the green colors numbers mean at the bottom of each cell? Thanks for clarifying.

[sprout]

daze12\" post_id=\"1919128\" time=\"1562896161\" user_id=\"129377:

sprout\" post_id=\"1918793\" time=\"1562752648\" user_id=\"165459:

I made a p1-registration statistics page to keep track schools in a watch list.

https://balloting.xyz/

Happy balloting!

Thank you Sprout. What does the green colors numbers mean at the bottom of each cell? Thanks for clarifying.

They are the differences between the number of Vacancies (or Applicants) in 2019 and as in 2018. For example, Ai Tong has 30 less total vacancies but gains 39 more vacancies for Phase 2A2, because it received less applicants at Phase 1 and Phase 2A1(44 and 25 respectively).

Green - good for this year
Red - bad for this year

The grey-out approximated numbers are the number of applicants in 2018 at the indicated stage.

https://postimg.cc/rDgWtrz4

[howard1019]

We stay around Tampines area, both Poi Ching & St. Hilda’s are within 1KM, the rest schools within Tampines are within 1-2KM. We are SC and going to register under 2C phase.

St. Hilda’s is too HOT to apply, so Poi Ching is our 1st choice, but look at the historical data, thinking it’s high chance this year balloting will be required within 1KM. So better to have a backup plan. Considering Gongshang, Tampines, Junyuan, which one will be the best next choice? Any suggestions are welcome.

[floppy]

howard1019\" post_id=\"1919142\" time=\"1562897947\" user_id=\"175129:

We stay around Tampines area, both Poi Ching & St. Hilda's are within 1KM, the rest schools within Tampines are within 1-2KM. We are SC and going to register under 2C phase.
St. Hilda's is too HOT to apply, so Poi Ching is our 1st choice, but look at the historical data, thinking it's high chance this year balloting will be required within 1KM. So better to have a backup plan. Considering Gongshang, Tampines, Junyuan, which one will be the best next choice? Any suggestions are welcome.

What do you mean by backup plan? Phase 2Cs backup? Or alternatives to Poi Ching?

Phase 2C:
Gongshang will also ballot < 1km like St Hilda, Poi Ching. Just out of the fire, but back into the flying pan.
Junyuan shoo-in for < 1km but may ballot > 1km.
Tampines shoo-In for SC.

[grace2011]

Tiongbahrumum\" post_id=\"1919015\" time=\"1562837794\" user_id=\"143725:

zac's mum\" post_id=\"1918986\" time=\"1562828879\" user_id=\"53606:[quote=\"zac's mum\" post_id=1918986 time=1562828879 user_id=53606]Based on previous trends of various other schools that underwent renovation/temporary holding sites, I believe the popularity always tends to drop during those registration years when the temp location is inconvenient/much further away from the original site.

And then when the renovation is done & moving back to the original (new) premises, the popularity will go back up again.

That’s all I know.

yeap, one school that might see increased applications is CHIJ Kellock. They moved into their original new premised in 2018. In 2016, 2017, there are availability in P2CS. In 2018 there is balloting for P2C for SC only (PR didn't get a chance to ballot). Similar stats should be seen this year, that is, all spots to be taken up in P2C, and there will be no P2CS. Question is if PR gets a chance to ballot in P2C.[/quote]

Don't forget 2018 was dragon baby year, it might not be a perfect reference for this year given that lower birth rate for this year.